Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index Climbs for Second Straight Month

Replacement activity stemming from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma drove continued vehicle valuation stability and shopping demand during October

Lawrenceville, GA  November 3, 2017 — Black Book, a division of Hearst Business Media that provides industry-leading used vehicle valuation and residual value forecast solutions, released its Used Vehicle Retention Index for October, with the Index increasing 0.6% MOM from 113.9 to 114.6, its second straight monthly increase dating back to August, when it was at 112.6. Click here to obtain a copy of the latest index data.


The Black Book Used Vehicle Retention Index is calculated using Black Book’s published Wholesale Average value on two- to six-year-old used vehicles, as percent of original typically equipped MSRP. It is weighted based on registration volume and adjusted for seasonality, vehicle age, mileage, and condition. The Index offers an accurate, unbiased view of the strength of today’s used vehicle market values.

The last remaining expected replacement activity stemming from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma drove continued vehicle valuation stability and shopping demand during the month of October. During the month, vehicle segments such as Compact Crossover SUV (+1.3%), Full-Size Car (+1.3%), Full-Size Crossover SUV (+1.7%), and Full-Size Pickups (+2.0%) were a few of the categories that saw noticeable retention strength due to increased demand during October.

“So far this year, we have seen a very strong performance for used vehicle value retention, driven largely by the surprising value shoppers found in the affordable smaller cars after spring, and the huge demand resulting from hurricane replacements in the fall,” said Anil Goyal, senior vice president of automotive valuation and analytics for Black Book. “Looking ahead in the next two months, we expect the market to decline slightly but still end this year with a better-than-expected strength in used vehicle values.”

The Index dates back to January 2005, where Black Book published a benchmark index value of 100.0 for the market. During 2008, the index dropped by 14.1% while during 2016, the index fell by just 6.4%. During 2011, the index rose strongly from 113.3 to 123.0 by the end of the year as the economy picked up steam and used vehicle values rose higher. It continued to remain relatively stable, rising slightly until May of 2014 when it hit a peak of 128.1.

To obtain a copy of the latest Black Book Wholesale Value Index, please click here.

About Black Book

Black Book® is best known in the automotive industry for providing timely, independent and accurate vehicle pricing information, and is available to industry-qualified users through online subscription products, mobile applications and licensing agreements. A leading provider since 1955, Black Book has continuously evolved to ensure that it achieves its goal of delivering mission-critical information to its customers, along with the insight necessary to successfully buy, sell, and lend. Black Book data is published daily by National Auto Research, a division of Hearst Business media, and the company maintains offices in Georgia, Florida, and Maryland, as well as the Canadian Black Book in Toronto. For more information, please visit BlackBook.com or call 800.554.1026.

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John Sternal, Merit Mile, 954-592-1201

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